Ukraine truce takes hold as West lines up Russia sanctions

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Ukraine and pro-Kremlin insurgents appeared to be observing a truce on Saturday that could stem five months of bloodshed but still failed to head off fresh Western sanctions against Russia and is unlikely to quell the separatist drive in the east.

The 12-point pact signed on Friday in the Belarussian capital Minsk is the first to be backed by both the Kremlin and Kiev since bands of Russian-speaking militias seized a string of government buildings across Ukraine’s industrial heartland in early April.

Yet highly sceptical Western leaders nonetheless decided to punish Russian President Vladimir Putin for his efforts in supporting the rebels by beefing up sanctions on Moscow’s most crucial state firms.

“The only reason that we’re seeing this ceasefire at this moment is because of both the sanctions that have already been applied and the threat of further sanctions,” US President Barack Obama said.

But with the rebels winning notable gains in recent days and Russia outwardly defiant over the impact of earlier sanctions there was little sign the ceasefire would put an end to the eastern insurgency.

The closely coordinated steps by Washington and the European Union target Russia’s cash-generating energy and defence sectors while taking aim at the overall economy by limiting Moscow’s ability to raise funds in the West.

Obama said these measures were needed to ensure Russian “follow-through” on the peace plan.

EU diplomats said their “agreement in principle on new sanctions” would be officially implemented in writing on Monday.

And NATO also approved a “spearhead” force of several thousand soldiers that would maintain a “continuous” presence in eastern European nations that view Putin’s intentions with dread.

“This decision sends a clear message — NATO protects all allies at all times,” alliance’s outgoing chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen said at the conclusion of a two-day summit in Wales.

The Kremlin accuses NATO of concocting evidence about Russia’s involvement in the conflict as pretext for expanding its own presence along Russia’s western frontier.

‘Stealth Russian invasion’

The peace blueprint — its initial terms unveiled by Putin this week after telephone talks with his Ukrainian counterpart Petro Poroshenko — could leave separatists in effective control of a region that accounts for one-sixth of Ukraine’s population and a quarter of its exports.

It was drawn up during a surge in tensions as the rebels launched a lightning counter-offensive that saw a dramatic reversal of fortunes for the Ukrainian army. NATO says the rebels were bolstered by heavily-armed elite forces from Russia.

The deal brokered by the OSCE European security body will see both sides start pulling back their units from major flashpoints and exchanging prisoners on Saturday.

Russia was also allowed to supply stricken cities with humanitarian aid that Kiev had previously opposed out of fear the convoys could be used to smuggle arms.

But the agreement leaves Poroshenko exposed to charges of signing off on his government’s surrender and failing on his May election promise to reunify the nation of 45 million under a single banner of building strong ties with the West.

Kiev had little room for manoeuvre. Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk said the agreement required US and EU backing because Kiev could “not manage with Russia on our own”.

Yet Washington appears to have little appetite to get drawn in directly into the post-Soviet conflict and responded coolly to Yatsenyuk’s appeal.

“This obviously is a ceasefire that has to be held between Russia and Ukraine,” US State Department spokeswoman Marie Harf said.

“We’ve obviously been in contact with the Ukrainians and other parties as well about it, but this is really something that they need to hold to themselves. This isn’t about the United States; this is about them.”

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