Growth in the Pacific region is expected to run at 6 per cent in 2012, but slow to 4.2 per cent in 2013 due to lower growth in resource exporting countries that weigh most heavily in regional averages.
It is released in the latest Pacific Economic Monitor, released by the Asian Development Bank (ADB).
“Pacific economies are weathering persistent troubles in the eurozone, but they need to broaden and build resilience in their economies,” said Xianbin Yao, Director General of the ADB’s Pacific Department. “To support this agenda, ADB is continuing its efforts to assist Pacific economies in making long-term infrastructure investments and undertaking necessary policy reforms to achieve stronger and more inclusive growth in coming years.”
Economic troubles in the eurozone continue to have only modest and indirect effects on Pacific economies, owing to the relatively greater importance of economic developments in Australia, Japan, New Zealand, and the United States in driving Pacific growth. While the eurozone crisis drags on, relatively stronger performance in these countries appears to be moderating the impact on Pacific economies.
Slowing growth in the People’s Republic of China, however, is expected to have greater implications for the Pacific, mainly due to its strong ties with Australia, the main trading partner of many Pacific economies. The slowdown forecast for the Pacific in 2013 is expected mainly due to lower growth in resource exporting countries, such as Papua New Guinea (PNG), Solomon Islands and Timor-Leste, which weigh most heavily in regional averages.
ADB peers into crystal ball
